Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.034541 4.777154 5.647448 6.750362 8.121674 9.784791 11.976125
2024-12-22 2.876465 3.756279 4.918883 6.598091 9.012946 12.442669 17.837276
2024-12-29 2.331153 3.239564 4.536898 6.582498 9.838266 15.025183 24.368513
2025-01-05 1.952099 2.843041 4.193165 6.473457 10.411865 17.316086 31.305292
2025-01-12 1.731903 2.627857 4.058606 6.629683 11.418869 20.614366 41.541779
2025-01-19 1.509678 2.365928 3.791518 6.485448 11.827528 22.909263 50.844475
2025-01-26 1.419220 2.301721 3.838056 6.904506 13.422687 28.188374 70.180065
2025-02-02 1.325262 2.214661 3.825079 7.200844 14.846934 33.658924 93.825944
2025-02-09 1.248986 2.146240 3.831973 7.534682 16.455226 40.285804 126.355552
2025-02-16 1.162390 2.045723 3.758994 7.679216 17.657304 46.390720 162.819857
2025-02-23 1.092438 1.966945 3.715781 7.879774 19.070490 53.839688 212.818436
2025-03-02 1.012801 1.858750 3.594696 7.870751 19.917149 59.950529 264.478435
2025-03-09 0.951556 1.793987 3.587115 8.224764 22.221504 73.674990 386.461633
2025-03-16 0.854116 1.644384 3.375426 8.029527 22.882267 82.272224 502.722352
2025-03-23 0.782400 1.538278 3.242584 8.009870 24.132044 94.645505 686.772077
2025-03-30 0.713787 1.429028 3.082696 7.871968 24.928885 105.917474 907.681474
2025-04-06 0.671402 1.372263 3.040088 8.069575 27.112706 127.025883 1349.393695
2025-04-13 0.615808 1.277804 2.886877 7.887127 27.715317 140.124283 1776.752440
2025-04-20 0.597399 1.267718 2.949382 8.417733 31.699536 180.918288 3100.243867
2025-04-27 0.573482 1.241051 2.963082 8.793891 35.278265 225.855972 5279.741518
2025-05-04 0.552798 1.219471 2.987012 9.218551 39.450221 285.247035 9556.399384
2025-05-11 0.525662 1.178137 2.947903 9.402693 42.534010 342.684752 16312.798408
2025-05-18 0.502882 1.145158 2.927781 9.658493 46.288203 418.979169 30268.156971